The Politics of Oil
"Standard Oil (now Exxon-Mobil) and Shell seat and unseat
kings and presidents, finance palace plots and coup d'etats,
have innumerable generals, ministers and James Bonds at their command
..make
decisions about peace or war in every field and every language."
- Eduardo Galleano, Open Veins of Latin America
Crude Despots
It was dictator Juan Vicente Gómez who set the pattern. Gómez
ruled Venezuela between 1908 and 1935 and was perfectly placed to
benefit when the country's remarkable oil wealth began to flow in
the 1920s.
Gómez used this new wealth to underpin his regime, enriching
family, friends and supporters alike - the archbishop who gave a
special dispensation allowing the dictator to eat meat on Fridays,
was handsomely rewarded with oil shares.
The Gómez regime, a US diplomat wrote approvingly, was characterised
by a "benevolent despotism", which the diplomat felt was
infinitely preferable to "anarchical democracy."
Unfortunately, that benevolence did not extend to the majority of
the Venezuelan populace, which saw little of the country's new found
wealth. This pattern was to persist for the next seventy years.
Although the oil industry was nationalised in the 1970s - as Petroleos
de Venezuela, SA (PDVSA) - the vast profits continued to defy gravity
and trickle upwards into the pockets of a minority. Today, Venezuela
is the world's fifth largest oil producer and, crucially, supplies
the United States with 14 percent of its oil needs.
Reserves are said to be in excess of 74 billion barrels, along with
146 trillion cubic feet of gas. Oil provides the government with
over half its revenues.
But that figure masks a truly corrupt reality. When PDVSA was established
in the 1970s, it kept 20 percent of the oil revenue and passed the
remainder to the state.
By 1990 the ratio had fallen to 50:50. By 1998, when President Chavez
was elected, the process had been reversed: PDVSA kept 80 percent
of revenues and passed a mere 20 percent to the state.
It was now little more than a private fiefdom, a vast bloated cash
cow for a small, privileged elite.
Redistribute the Wealth
A central platform of Chavez' overwhelming electoral success in
1998 was reform of PDVSA and a redistribution of oil wealth.
Chavez saw the oil income as a natural source of funding for his
ambitious social programmes, particularly with regard to health
and education.
This ran counter to the plans of those who ran PDVSA. They saw privatisation
- for which plans had been laid at least five years previously -
as the means to guarantee their privilege in perpetuity.
They were joined by others made uncomfortable by such plans - the
Venezuelan Chamber of Commerce (Fedecamaras), the union federation
CTV, and the privately-owned media.
In 1999, the Chavez government submitted a new constitution to the
people. It was overwhelmingly endorsed by popular vote.
A key provision forbade the privatisation of PDVSA.
In the international arena, Chavez also moved to rebuild and revive
the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), thereby
ensuring Venezuela received a better price for its oil abroad.
As a result, the price of oil virtually doubled to over $20 a barrel
and a Venezuelan - Ali Rodriguez - became the new head of Opec.
Washington was less than enamoured by these developments. The
Administration's ties to the US oil industry - in the form of National
Security Adviser Condoleeza Rice, vice-president Dick Cheney and
President Bush himself - have been well documented.
Washington's hostility towards Venezuela became more pronounced,
with senior officials questioning President Chavez' 'commitment
to democracy' this from a US administration that required
the intervention of the Supreme Court to enjoy 'electoral' success!
Nonetheless, President Chavez' domestic opponents - driven by the
kleptocracy that ran PDVSA - had found new friends abroad.
After the coup, it would emerge that the National Endowment for
Democracy (NED), an agency of the US government, had quadrupled
its funding for Venezuelan 'democrats' (the opposition) in the year
leading up to the coup. NED funding of the opposition totalled $877,000.
In January 2002, the Venezuelan government gave legal expression
to its plans to radically reform PDVSA by passing the Hydrocarbon
Law. This law also doubled the royalties charged to foreign oil
companies in Venezuela, chief among them US giant Exxon-Mobil. It
was to take effect on January 1, 2003.
On December 10, 2001, the Venezuelan opposition launched a 'general
strike' as part of their campaign to oust the democratically elected
President a strike in which the employers were the key organisers.
Venezuela's well-heeled elite duly took to their well-appointed
barricades.
Whatever plans for a coup were already underway, it is certain they
were given added impetus by the Hydrocarbon Law and a reinvigorated
Opec.
Indeed, the opposition made it abundantly clear that they would
privatise PDVSA, ignore Opec production limits and repeal the doubling
of royalties for foreign oil companies.
US Oil Supply Threatened
But it was events in the Middle East that may well have compelled
the coup plotters to act when they did. Israeli actions in Occupied
Palestine, during the early months of 2002, resulted in widespread
international condemnation and anger. Attention focused on the United
States Israel's chief source of financial and political support.
Boycotts of US goods were proposed throughout the Middle East, but
never took hold. But what caught the public imagination was a proposed
oil embargo of the US, by key Arab countries, a proposal that reportedly
panicked the Bush administration. If the embargo became a reality,
a steady supply of Venezuelan oil would be vital to the United States.
A similar embargo in 1973 had only been broken when Venezuela stepped
in to make up the shortfall in the US supply.
Days before the coup, Opec head Ali Rodriguez contacted President
Chavez and warned him that the proposed embargo meant his opponents
would move sooner rather than later.
Rodriquez said it was likely they would choose April 11, the day
the
opposition planned a major demonstration in Caracas. His prediction
proved correct.
Would you buy a used coup from these people?
The opposition had failed to overturn the electoral result of 1998,
by way of a 'strike' and then the coup of April 2001. However, undeterred
by this catalogue of failure, they launched a second 'general strike'
in December 2002.
The strike was supported by such luminaries of the democratic process
as the local McDonalds franchise, Subway de Venezuela (sandwich
franchise), supermarkets and private schools.
The timing was important. On January 1, 2003, the Hydrocarbon Law
would take effect, paving the way for the dismantling and reconstitution
of PDVSA and the doubling of royalties on foreign oil corporations.
In this instance, the opposition sought to cripple the country economically,
by halting output at PDVSA. Venezuela stood to lose $50 million
per day, if they succeeded. (To prevent profiteering, President
Chavez introduced price controls on basic foods, medicines and rents).
The opposition strategy was similar to that enunciated by then US
Secretary of State, Henry Kissinger, who warned in the early 1970s
that the US would "make the Chilean economy scream".
In 1973, following a prolonged period of destabilisation and 'strikes'
the elected government of Salvador Allende in Chile was overthrown
in a coup, ushering in the brutal regime of General Augusto Pinochet.
Up to 3,000 people 'disappeared' or were murdered during his rule.
Pinochet has since faced charges for crimes against humanity.
However, despite persistent attempts by the privately-owned media
in Venezuela, it was clear from an early stage that the supposed
'general strike' was far from general and a long way short of popular.
At an early stage, workers from a Pepsi plant in Aragua, west of
Caracas, ignored the orders of management to close, and occupied
the plant.
Their response to the strike was breathtakingly clear: "If
you close the factories - We'll take them over!" ("Fabrica
Cerrada - Fabrica Tomada").
By January 2003, the 'strike' was dead on its feet.
Update February 27 2003
US State Department brands Venezuela "an unreliable oil supplier."
A judge orders the arrest of seven former PDVSA executives for their
role in the most recent 'strike' (5,300 staff at PDVSA were sacked
as a result of the strike, including 700 senior executives)
Venezuelan oil production has returned to pre-strike levels of three
millions barrels per day. Ironically, the US push for war in the
Gulf has sent the price of oil close to $40 a barrel - almost twice
what it was before the April 11 coup.